empty
10.03.2023 12:51 PM
Bitcoin crashes below $20k amid negative macroeconomic forecasts: should we expect an upward correction?

After a week of consolidation, Bitcoin is approaching the end of the trading week by updating the local day below the $20k mark. The cryptocurrency consolidated near the $22.5k level and was prone to decline, which happened.

The fall in the price of Bitcoin was influenced by many fundamental and technical factors that formed a negative sentiment among investors. The current week showed that the period of local thaw is over and another storm is waiting for the markets in the near future.

Fundamental background

Let's start with the good news, which finally came from the labor market. Initial jobless claims in the U.S. reached 211,000 against the forecast of 195,000. This is a key point that indicates a gradual weakening of the labor market.

This image is no longer relevant

If this develops into a trend, we can expect a more moderate monetary policy of the Fed regarding the key rate. That said, it is reported that there are 5 million more job openings in the U.S. than unemployment, so the formation of a sustained momentum may not take place.

Jerome Powell's speech also did not reassure markets, and markets now expect a 50 basis point rate hike in March, to 5%–5.25%. Investors are confident that the rate will be raised by another 25 bps in May and June. A rate cut is not expected until January 2024.

This image is no longer relevant

Investment giant Citi shares investors' forecasts and raises the peak of the key rate to 5.5%–5.75%. The coming months will be difficult for markets and especially high-risk assets due to large liquidity problems and falling quotes of instruments such as SPX and BTC.

What is happening in the crypto market?

The situation on the crypto market has also become more complicated due to the start of the procedure for the liquidation of the crypto-friendly Silvergate Bank. At the same time, Santiment reports that buy the dip sentiment is forming in the market, but despite this, the market capitalization may decrease even more.

This image is no longer relevant

U.S. President Joe Biden also called for a 30% tax on all electricity used to mine Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. The politician also announced a revision of the tax policy for crypto traders who do not make a profit.

This image is no longer relevant

It also became known that only 1.82 million BTC coins are at the disposal of Bitcoin miners. This represents about 9.4% of the total volume of cryptocurrencies in circulation and is the lowest in 2023. This indicates that the miners are selling their reserves.

This image is no longer relevant

At the same time, there is a large outflow of BTC from centralized exchanges, which indicates the continuation of the accumulation period. Yesterday, about 6,760 BTC was withdrawn from the crypto platform, which is equivalent to $141 million. The total BTC supply on exchanges is 11.8%, the lowest since December 2017.

BTC/USD Analysis

As a result of March 9, Bitcoin formed the largest red candle since November 2022, which is ironic because it is the situation in the fall of 2022 that the crypto market returns to. The bearish volumes continued to rise today, causing the asset to break through the $20k level.

This image is no longer relevant

It is noteworthy that we still do not see a strong buy-off of buyers, which indicates an update of older price lows. Technical indicators are gradually falling into the oversold zone, and BTC is moving to storm $19.4k and $18.9k.

This image is no longer relevant

The key support zone within the current decline is the $18.3k level, where there was a serious buying of bulls. With only $323 million liquidated in the last 24 hours, the big players will allow the price to drop lower to collect more substantial liquidity.

Results

Bitcoin is again in the framework of a strong downward movement, intensified by negative sentiment, internal market problems and another deterioration of the macro situation. Therefore, it is likely that a deeper correction awaits us before buying off and trying to recover above $20k.

Artem Petrenko,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Select timeframe
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hour
4
hours
1
day
1
week
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

Bitcoin Forecast for June 2, 2025

Bitcoin Over the weekend, Bitcoin formed a reversal from the supports at the target level of 102,698 and the embedded green price channel line. If today's candlestick closes in white

Laurie Bailey 04:30 2025-06-02 UTC+2

Crypto investors still overwhelmed by optimism

Despite the ongoing correction, investor sentiment toward buying crypto assets remains positive, as indicated by the so-called Fear & Greed Index, which, as we noted earlier, is still

Jurij Tolin 16:24 2025-05-30 UTC+2

Do you know the most profitable company in the crypto industry?

While Bitcoin and Ethereum saw a fairly solid correction toward the end of the week, the most profitable company in the crypto industry — Tether — may have been quietly

Jakub Novak 16:16 2025-05-30 UTC+2

Trading Recommendations for the Cryptocurrency Market on May 30

Bitcoin and Ethereum continued their corrections, falling significantly throughout yesterday. The decline extended into today's Asian session, with Bitcoin updating its price to $104,500 and Ethereum testing $2,560. Thus

Miroslaw Bawulski 09:29 2025-05-30 UTC+2

Trading tips on crypto market for May 29 (North American session)

Bitcoin has shown a fairly solid rebound, climbing back above the $108,000 mark and breaking through $109,000. The chart below highlights a morning breakout through the $108,100 level. Statistics confirm

Miroslaw Bawulski 15:46 2025-05-29 UTC+2

Bitcoin recovers to $109,000

Bitcoin quickly rebounded to the $109,000 mark today. This rapid surge, especially following yesterday's dip to around $106,600, once again highlights the strong interest from large players who take advantage

Jakub Novak 15:04 2025-05-29 UTC+2

Bitcoin demand shows no signs of fading

Bitcoin demand has shown resilience once again. After a brief dip below the $107,000 mark, the decline was swiftly bought up, demonstrating that buyers remain active and confident

Jakub Novak 13:38 2025-05-29 UTC+2

Trading Recommendations for the Cryptocurrency Market on May 29

Bitcoin is starting a correction, and Ethereum is showing signs of strength. Yesterday, Bitcoin dipped to around $107,000 before rebounding sharply — a sign that many traders are cautious about

Miroslaw Bawulski 08:56 2025-05-29 UTC+2

Bitcoin Emerges from Wall Street's Shadow: Why the Coming Months Could Be Pivotal for the Crypto Market

The announcement that Cantor Fitzgerald, one of the largest U.S. primary dealers, is launching Bitcoin-backed lending has reshaped the crypto market. Managing $2 billion in capital for this venture

Ekaterina Kiseleva 00:31 2025-05-29 UTC+2

Trading Recommendations for the Cryptocurrency Market on May 28

Bitcoin failed to hold above the $110,000 level, while Ethereum again showed decent growth, fueled by news of a possible significant increase in the gas limit per block

Miroslaw Bawulski 10:04 2025-05-28 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.