empty
08.07.2024 01:37 PM
WTI - West Texas Intermediate. Review and analysis

This image is no longer relevant

The price of West Texas Intermediate WTI crude oil continues to decline, trading just above the level of $82.00 per barrel.The decrease is explained by the easing of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, taking into account the prospects for a ceasefire in the Gaza Strip. Such an event has reduced concerns about supply disruptions. According to Reuters, discussions on the U.S. plan for a cease-fire and an end to the nine-month conflict in the Gaza Strip are continuing. Qatar and Egypt are acting as mediators in the negotiations.The decline in oil prices may stop due to potential disruptions in energy supplies to the United States against the background of tropical storm Beryl. On Sunday, in preparation for Hurricane Beryl, ports in Corpus Christi, Houston, Galveston, Freeport, and Texas City were closed. Reuters reports that the storm will hit the mid-Texas coast between Galveston and Corpus Christi later today.Additionally, Friday's weaker-than-expected employment data in the US increased the likelihood of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates sooner than September. Lower Fed rates could help improve business conditions in the US, the largest oil consumer, thereby supporting demand for crude oil.In June, the number of jobs in the US non-farm sector increased by 206,000, following a May increase of 218,000. This figure exceeded market expectations of 190,000. Consequently, in June, the US unemployment rate rose to 4.1% from May's 4.0%. The average hourly earnings on an annual basis in June fell to 3.9% from the previous value of 4.1%, matching market expectations.According to CME's FedWatch Tool, the probability of a rate cut in September is 70.7%, compared to 64.1% a week earlier. Reuters reports that the dollar faced challenges as Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell stated last week that the Central Bank is returning to a path of disinflation.

This image is no longer relevant

From a technical perspective, oscillators on the daily oil chart are in positive territory, and the price is far from the 100-day and 200-day SMA, suggesting that oil may remain above the round level of 82.00.

Irina Yanina,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Select timeframe
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hour
4
hours
1
day
1
week
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

USD/JPY. Analysis and Forecast

The bulls of the Japanese yen have not been significantly affected by the disappointing GDP report for Japan's first quarter. This is largely due to growing expectations that the Bank

Irina Yanina 18:38 2025-05-16 UTC+2

XAU/USD. Analysis and Forecast

Gold is experiencing renewed intraday pressure, falling below the key psychological level of $3200 during the first half of the European session on Friday. Optimism surrounding the trade truce between

Irina Yanina 18:37 2025-05-16 UTC+2

Market gets lost in crowd

Investors are so confident that Donald Trump is following the stock market's lead that the S&P 500 no longer needs a reason to rise. The broad equity index had been

Marek Petkovich 11:40 2025-05-16 UTC+2

Japan on the Brink of Recession

The GDP report published on Thursday revealed that Japan's economy contracted by 0.7% year-over-year in the first quarter—its first annual decline in the past year and significantly worse than expected

Kuvat Raharjo 11:00 2025-05-16 UTC+2

Investors Continue Digesting the Impact of the Tariff Truce Between the U.S. and China (There Is a Chance of Renewed Corrective Decline in Gold and Oil Prices)

Markets have fully priced in the outcome of the U.S.–China talks, which resulted in a 90-day trade truce. Weaker-than-expected U.S. economic data offset the early-week optimism. The recent rally lost

Pati Gani 10:49 2025-05-16 UTC+2

What to Pay Attention to on May 16? A Breakdown of Fundamental Events for Beginners

Few macroeconomic events are scheduled for Friday, and they are not more significant than the reports released on Thursday, which did not provoke any market reaction. In essence, the only

Paolo Greco 06:17 2025-05-16 UTC+2

GBP/USD Overview – May 16: The Market Has No Desire to Sell

The GBP/USD currency pair traded sideways on Thursday with low volatility—typical behavior for the pound over the past month. First, there was a classic flat range; now, we see "swings"

Paolo Greco 03:54 2025-05-16 UTC+2

EUR/USD Overview – May 16: The Dollar Remains the World's "Number One Currency"

The EUR/USD currency pair moved in both directions on Thursday but ultimately remained below the moving average line. Its position beneath the moving average allows us to expect further strengthening

Paolo Greco 03:54 2025-05-16 UTC+2

Are Things Really So Optimistic with the Deals with China and the UK?

Last week, Donald Trump announced the signing of the first deal with the United Kingdom under his "America's Liberation" campaign. It was later revealed that the deal had not been

Chin Zhao 00:40 2025-05-16 UTC+2

The Euro Didn't End Up in the Junkyard

Chinese goods have flooded the European market, but EUR/USD bulls aren't alarmed by this. While the U.S. has reduced tariffs on imports from China, the weighted average tariff still sits

Marek Petkovich 00:39 2025-05-16 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.